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Josh Jacobs

Josh Jacobs Carries
Player Prop Week 1

Philadelphia Eagles vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Josh Jacobs Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • In this game, Josh Jacobs is anticipated by the model to find himself in the 93rd percentile among running backs with 15.7 carries.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Packers as the 5th-least run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 38.5% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The projections expect the Packers to call the 8th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 63.1 plays, based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
  • The 10th-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Green Bay Packers last year (a measly 56.8 per game on average).
  • While Josh Jacobs has accounted for 81.5% of his offense's rushing play calls in games he has played last year, the projections expect him to be a much smaller piece of Green Bay's running game in this contest at 64.9%.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles defensive tackles project as the 4th-best DT corps in the league last year when it comes to stopping the run.

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