Josh Jacobs Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Josh Jacobs

NFL · Player Props

Josh Jacobs

RB · Las Vegas Raiders

Carries

Detroit Lions vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 8, 2023

Updated Oct 30, 2023 11:56 PM UTC

Analysis

Josh Jacobs Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

This week, Josh Jacobs is expected by the projections to slot into the 93rd percentile among running backs with 16.5 carries.
Out of all running backs, Josh Jacobs grades out in the 99th percentile for rush attempts this year, comprising 78.9% of the workload in his offense's rushing attack.
When talking about blocking for rushers (and the significance it has on all ground game stats), the offensive line of the Raiders profiles as the 3rd-best in the league last year.

Favors Under

The Raiders will be forced to use backup QB Brian Hoyer in this week's game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
The Raiders are a massive 7-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
The projections expect the Las Vegas Raiders as the least run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 36.4% run rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Las Vegas Raiders are anticipated by the model to run just 60.7 plays on offense in this contest: the fewest on the slate this week.
The Las Vegas Raiders have run the fewest plays in the league this year, totaling just 54.4 plays per game.

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