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Josh Jacobs
NFL · Player Props
Josh Jacobs
RB · Las Vegas Raiders
Carries
Las Vegas Raiders vs Green Bay Packers · Week 5, 2023 Updated Oct 9, 2023 11:06 PM EST
NFL Props Josh Jacobs Carries

Josh Jacobs Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ +100.

Favors Over
  • The model projects Josh Jacobs to notch 18.9 carries in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 98th percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • Among all running backs, Josh Jacobs grades out in the 99th percentile for rush attempts this year, accounting for 78.9% of the workload in his team's running game.
  • The Raiders O-line grades out as the 3rd-best in the NFL last year at opening holes for runners.
  • As it relates to the defensive ends' role in defending against the run, Green Bay's unit has been awful this year, grading out as the worst in football. in football.
Favors Under
  • The leading projections forecast the Raiders as the 5th-least run-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 39.3% run rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is anticipated by the model to have only 123.6 offensive plays run: the fewest among all games this week.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders have called the fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a mere 51.8 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
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