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Josh Jacobs

Josh Jacobs Carries
Player Prop Week 10

Las Vegas Raiders vs New York Jets

 
 
 
Josh Jacobs Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-110/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -121 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Las Vegas Raiders to be the 8th-most run-oriented team on the slate this week with a 44.0% run rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • In this game, Josh Jacobs is expected by our trusted projection set to place in the 100th percentile when it comes to RBs with 21.5 rush attempts.
  • Among all running backs, Josh Jacobs grades out in the 99th percentile for rush attempts this year, taking on 80.3% of the workload in his offense's ground game.
  • When talking about run support (and the influence it has on all ground game metrics), the O-line of the Raiders grades out as the 3rd-best in the league last year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Las Vegas Raiders are anticipated by the projection model to call just 62.0 plays on offense in this game: the 3rd-lowest number among all teams this week.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders have run the 2nd-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a mere 53.2 plays per game.
  • The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may decline.
  • As it relates to the linebackers' role in run defense, New York's collection of LBs has been very good this year, grading out as the 5th-best in football.

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