Josh Jacobs Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Josh Jacobs

NFL · Player Props

Josh Jacobs

RB · Las Vegas Raiders

Carries

Denver Broncos vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 1, 2023

Updated Sep 11, 2023 12:01 AM EST

Analysis

Josh Jacobs Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-118/-109).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects Josh Jacobs to total 17.3 carries in this week's contest, on average, ranking in the 96th percentile among running backs.
Josh Jacobs has been given 80.4% of his team's rush attempts since the start of last season, ranking in the 100th percentile among running backs.
The Las Vegas Raiders offensive line ranks as the 3rd-best in the NFL since the start of last season at opening holes for runners.
The Denver Broncos defensive ends rank as the 4th-worst DE corps in the NFL since the start of last season when it comes to stopping the run.

Favors Under

The Raiders are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders to be the 7th-least run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 38.8% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Raiders to run the 7th-least total plays on the slate this week with 62.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

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