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Josh Jacobs

Josh Jacobs Carries
Player Prop Week 9

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Las Vegas Raiders

Josh Jacobs Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects Josh Jacobs to total 19.7 rush attempts in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 98th percentile among RBs.

Josh Jacobs has been a much bigger part of his offense's run game this season (84.9% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (67.7%).

The Las Vegas Raiders offensive line profiles as the best in football this year at opening holes for rushers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders to be the 9th-least run-centric offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now with a 35.7% run rate.

THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders as the 6th-slowest paced defense in football (adjusted for context) at the moment, causing opposing offenses to average 29.05 seconds per snap.

The Jacksonville Jaguars linebackers project as the 5th-best group of LBs in the NFL this year with their run defense.

The Jacksonville Jaguars have stacked the box against opponents on 22.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-most in the league. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

The Las Vegas Raiders have gone no-huddle on a mere 4.7% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (10th-least in football). This deadens the pace, leading to less volume and stat production.

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