My Account Log Out

reorder

Josh Jacobs

Josh Jacobs Carries
Player Prop Week 4

Las Vegas Raiders vs Denver Broncos

Josh Jacobs Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects Josh Jacobs to garner 16.3 rush attempts in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 85th percentile among RBs.

The Denver Broncos defensive ends grade out as the 5th-worst collection of DEs in football since the start of last season in regard to stopping the run.

The Denver Broncos have stacked the box against opponents on just 9.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-least in the league. Choosing not to bring an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders to be the 4th-least run-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 36.4% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects the Raiders to run the least plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

THE BLITZ projects Josh Jacobs to be a less important option in his offense's run game this week (71.0% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (84.0% in games he has played).

The Las Vegas Raiders have gone no-huddle on a mere 4.7% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (10th-least in the league). This slows down the pace, leading to less volume and stat production.

More Josh Jacobs Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™