Josh Jacobs Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Josh Jacobs

NFL · Player Props

Josh Jacobs

RB · Las Vegas Raiders

Carries

Las Vegas Raiders vs Arizona Cardinals · Week 2, 2022

Updated Sep 18, 2022 7:30 PM UTC

Analysis

Josh Jacobs Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-106/-129).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -129 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -129.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Raiders to call the least offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.9 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Josh Jacobs to earn 14.3 rush attempts in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 90th percentile among running backs.
Josh Jacobs has been given 68.1% of his offense's rush attempts since the start of last season, placing him in the 96th percentile among RBs.
The Arizona Cardinals defensive ends project as the 4th-worst DE corps in the league since the start of last season with their run defense.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders as the least run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 36.9% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The Las Vegas Raiders have gone no-huddle on a lowly 4.7% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (10th-least in the league). This slows the pace, resulting in less volume and stat production.
The Las Vegas Raiders have risked going for it on 4th down a lowly 15.7% of the time since the start of last season (7th-least in the NFL), which usually means less offensive volume, less TD potential, and lower offensive metrics across the board.

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