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Josh Jacobs

Josh Jacobs Carries
Player Prop Week 12

Seattle Seahawks vs Las Vegas Raiders

 
 
 
Josh Jacobs Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-122/-106).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects Josh Jacobs to earn 19.9 carries in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 96th percentile among running backs.
  • Josh Jacobs has been a more integral piece of his team's run game this season (87.4% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (67.7%).
  • The Las Vegas Raiders O-line profiles as the 3rd-best in the league this year at opening holes for rushers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Raiders are a 4-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders as the 10th-least run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 37.5% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Raiders to call the 11th-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.8 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Seattle Seahawks defensive tackles project as the 6th-best collection of DTs in football this year when it comes to defending the run.
  • The Seattle Seahawks have stacked the box versus opponents on 19.9% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-most in football. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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