Josh Jacobs Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Josh Jacobs

NFL · Player Props

Josh Jacobs

RB · Las Vegas Raiders

Carries

Seattle Seahawks vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 12, 2022

Updated Nov 28, 2022 1:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Josh Jacobs Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-122/-106).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects Josh Jacobs to earn 19.9 carries in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 96th percentile among running backs.
Josh Jacobs has been a more integral piece of his team's run game this season (87.4% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (67.7%).
The Las Vegas Raiders O-line profiles as the 3rd-best in the league this year at opening holes for rushers.

Favors Under

The Raiders are a 4-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders as the 10th-least run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 37.5% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Raiders to call the 11th-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.8 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Seattle Seahawks defensive tackles project as the 6th-best collection of DTs in football this year when it comes to defending the run.
The Seattle Seahawks have stacked the box versus opponents on 19.9% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-most in football. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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