My Account Log Out

reorder

Josh Downs

Josh Downs Receptions
Player Prop Week 3

Indianapolis Colts vs Chicago Bears

Josh Downs Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -100 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect this game to have the largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 133.2 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.

The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop.

The Bears defense has been a glaring pass funnel since the start of last season, enticing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 4th-most passes in the league (37.1 per game) since the start of last season.

The Indianapolis offensive line profiles as the best in the league since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a positive influence on all passing game statistics across the board.

Josh Downs checks in as one of the best WRs in the game last year, averaging a stellar 4.0 adjusted catches per game while grading out in the 81st percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Indianapolis Colts to pass on 54.0% of their plays: the 5th-lowest clip among all teams this week.

The Bears pass defense has given up the 10th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (62.8%) to wideouts since the start of last season (62.8%).

As it relates to cornerbacks in covering receivers, Chicago's CB corps has been very good since the start of last season, profiling as the 6th-best in the league.

More Josh Downs Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™