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Josh Downs

Josh Downs Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

Indianapolis Colts vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Josh Downs Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -146 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Indianapolis Colts to pass on 59.6% of their chances: the 10th-greatest rate among all teams this week.

At the present time, the 4th-quickest paced offense in the league (context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Colts.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

The Colts offensive line profiles as the 7th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive effect on all air attack metrics across the board.

With a remarkable 4.2 adjusted catches per game (76th percentile) this year, Josh Downs stands as one of the leading wide receivers in the game in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing teams have averaged 34.5 pass attempts per game versus the Steelers defense this year: 10th-fewest in football.

The Steelers linebackers grade out as the 2nd-best group of LBs in the NFL this year in regard to pass rush.

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