Josh Downs Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Josh Downs

NFL · Player Props

Josh Downs

WR · Indianapolis Colts

Receptions

Cincinnati Bengals vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 14, 2023

Updated Dec 10, 2023 8:21 PM UTC

Analysis

Josh Downs Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+106/-136).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +134 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

A passing game script is indicated by the Colts being a -3-point underdog in this week's game.
The projections expect the Colts to run the 2nd-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 68.0 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
The Indianapolis Colts have run the 8th-most plays in football this year, totaling a colossal 60.5 plays per game.
This week, Josh Downs is expected by the projection model to position himself in the 76th percentile among WRs with 6.6 targets.
The Indianapolis O-line grades out as the 7th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive influence on all passing game stats across the board.

Favors Under

The Cincinnati Bengals pass defense has surrendered the 8th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (62.8%) vs. wide receivers this year (62.8%).

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