Josh Downs Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Josh Downs

NFL · Player Props

Josh Downs

WR · Indianapolis Colts

Receptions

New England Patriots vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 10, 2023

Updated Nov 12, 2023 1:56 PM EST

Analysis

Josh Downs Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+102/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +106 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The model projects the Indianapolis Colts to run the most offensive plays on the slate this week with 67.8 plays, based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
The Colts have called the 8th-most plays in football this year, totaling a massive 60.9 plays per game.
The Colts offensive line profiles as the 7th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a positive influence on all passing offense stats across the board.

Favors Under

The predictive model expects the Colts as the 6th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 55.5% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

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