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Josh Downs

Josh Downs Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Tennessee Titans vs Indianapolis Colts

Josh Downs Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 51.5 (-129/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 36.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 51.5 @ -129.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect the Colts as the 4th-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 51.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

The leading projections forecast this game to see the 5th-highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.8 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.

This week, Josh Downs is forecasted by the predictive model to secure a spot in the 86th percentile among wide receivers with 7.9 targets.

When it comes to protecting the quarterback (and the positive effect it has on all passing game statistics), the offensive line of the Indianapolis Colts ranks as the 2nd-best in the league this year.

Josh Downs's ball-catching skills have improved this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate rising from 72.3% to 78.0%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Indianapolis Colts have called the 3rd-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a measly 51.0 plays per game.

The weatherman calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.

Opposing offenses teams have been disinclined to lean on the pass against the Titans, totaling the fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 24.0 per game) this year.

While Josh Downs has received 29.5% of his team's targets in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be a much smaller piece of Indianapolis's offense in this contest at 23.0%.

Josh Downs's ability to pick up extra yardage has tailed off this season, accumulating a measly 3.35 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 4.87 mark last season.

More Josh Downs Player Props

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