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Josh Downs

Josh Downs Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Indianapolis Colts

Josh Downs Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 51.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 47.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 51.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Colts to call the 2nd-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.9 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

Opposing QBs have averaged 36.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 6th-most in the NFL.

The model projects Josh Downs to garner 7.9 targets in this week's contest, on average, ranking him in the 88th percentile when it comes to wideouts.

Josh Downs has been heavily involved in his team's passing attack, garnering a Target Share of 19.3% since the start of last season, which ranks him in the 75th percentile among WRs.

When talking about protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all passing offense statistics), the offensive line of the Colts ranks as the 2nd-best in the league this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Colts have been the 8th-least pass-oriented offense in the league (adjusted for context) this year with a 54.2% pass rate.

The fewest plays in the NFL have been run by the Colts this year (a measly 48.0 per game on average).

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