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Josh Downs
NFL · Player Props
Josh Downs
WR · Indianapolis Colts
Receiving Yards
Houston Texans vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 2, 2023 Updated Sep 18, 2023 1:26 AM EST
NFL Props Josh Downs Receiving Yards

Josh Downs Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 31.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 29.5 @ -135.

Favors Over
  • THE BLITZ projects the Colts to run the 2nd-most total plays among all teams this week with 67.5 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Indianapolis Colts have called the 8th-most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a whopping 60.3 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • The Houston Texans pass defense has struggled when opposing WRs have gotten into space, conceding an average of 5.11 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the most in the NFL.
Favors Under
  • The Indianapolis Colts boast a new play-caller this year in head coach Shane Steichen, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 2.9% more towards rushing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
  • THE BLITZ projects the Indianapolis Colts as the 4th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 53.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 30.2 pass attempts per game against the Houston Texans defense since the start of last season: 5th-least in football.
  • The Indianapolis Colts offensive line ranks as the 7th-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative effect on all passing game metrics across the board.
  • The Houston Texans defense has surrendered the 3rd-least receiving yards per game in football (just 123.0) to WRs since the start of last season.
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