Josh Downs Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Josh Downs

NFL · Player Props

Josh Downs

WR · Indianapolis Colts

Receiving Yards

Indianapolis Colts vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 16, 2023 8:26 PM UTC

Analysis

Josh Downs Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 46.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 43.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 46.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Indianapolis Colts to pass on 59.6% of their chances: the 10th-greatest rate among all teams this week.
At the present time, the 4th-quickest paced offense in the league (context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Colts.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
The Colts offensive line profiles as the 7th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive effect on all air attack metrics across the board.
With an outstanding 70.7% Adjusted Catch% (78th percentile) this year, Josh Downs places among the most reliable receivers in the NFL among wide receivers.

Favors Under

Opposing teams have averaged 34.5 pass attempts per game versus the Steelers defense this year: 10th-fewest in football.
The Steelers linebackers grade out as the 2nd-best group of LBs in the NFL this year in regard to pass rush.

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