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Josh Downs

Josh Downs Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Tennessee Titans vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Josh Downs Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 52.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 48.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 52.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects the Indianapolis Colts to run the 8th-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.8 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • The 8th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Colts this year (a whopping 60.3 per game on average).
  • The projections expect Josh Downs to accumulate 6.7 targets in this contest, on balance, ranking him in the 76th percentile when it comes to WRs.
  • Josh Downs has been a key part of his team's passing attack, garnering a Target Share of 20.1% this year, which ranks him in the 75th percentile when it comes to WRs.
  • As it relates to pass protection (and the strong effect it has on all passing offense metrics), the O-line of the Colts profiles as the 7th-best in football this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the Indianapolis Colts as the 5th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 55.2% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

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