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Josh Allen

Josh Allen TD Passes
Player Prop Week 20

Buffalo Bills vs Baltimore Ravens

Josh Allen TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-108/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Opposing offenses have averaged 35.3 pass attempts per game versus the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 3rd-most in football.

As it relates to pass protection (and the strong effect it has on all passing offense stats), the O-line of the Bills profiles as the 8th-best in football this year.

With a remarkable rate of 1.76 per game (88th percentile), Josh Allen places as one of the top touchdown throwers in the NFL this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Right now, the 6th-least pass-oriented team in the NFL in the red zone (51.4% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Bills.

The model projects the Bills to call the fewest total plays among all teams this week with 62.9 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

The Buffalo Bills have called the fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 55.5 plays per game.

Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 10th-lowest clip in the NFL against the Ravens defense this year (69.7% Adjusted Completion%).

The Ravens safeties rank as the 5th-best collection of safeties in football this year in pass coverage.

More Josh Allen Player Props

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