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Josh Allen

Josh Allen TD Passes
Player Prop Week 9

Cincinnati Bengals vs Buffalo Bills

Josh Allen TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-140/+110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Bills to pass on 63.4% of their opportunities: the 5th-highest frequency on the slate this week.

The predictive model expects the Buffalo Bills to be the 8th-most pass-heavy offense in football near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 60.5% red zone pass rate.

Josh Allen has attempted 37.1 passes per game this year, grading out in the 81st percentile among quarterbacks.

When it comes to pocket protection (and the strong effect it has on all passing attack metrics), the offensive line of the Buffalo Bills profiles as the 3rd-best in the NFL this year.

Josh Allen's throwing accuracy has improved this year, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 64.2% to 72.8%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Bills to call the 2nd-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 60.5 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.

Opposing offenses have averaged 33.3 pass attempts per game against the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year: 7th-fewest in the league.

Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 9th-lowest rate in the NFL against the Bengals defense this year (68.0% Adjusted Completion%).

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