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Josh Allen

Josh Allen TD Passes
Player Prop Week 6

Buffalo Bills vs New York Giants

 
 
 
Josh Allen TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-165/+130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +155 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Buffalo Bills as the 2nd-most pass-heavy team in football (adjusted for context) right now with a 68.3% pass rate.
  • In racking up a massive 36.4 pass attempts per game this year, Josh Allen slots in among the top quarterbacks in the NFL (76th percentile) in this regard.
  • The Buffalo Bills O-line ranks as the 3rd-best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.
  • Josh Allen's 73.7% Adjusted Completion% this season indicates a a remarkable gain in his throwing precision over last season's 64.2% mark.
  • Josh Allen has been one of the leading TD throwers in the league this year, averaging a terrific 2.20 per game while grading out in the 97th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's line indicates an extreme running game script for the Bills, who are a massive favorite by 15.5 points.
  • The projections expect the Bills to run the 7th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.9 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been afraid to rely on the passing game too much against the New York Giants, averaging the 5th-fewest attempts in football (a mere 29.6 per game) this year.

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