Josh Allen TD Passes - Player Prop Bet Week 6

My Account Log Out

reorder

Josh Allen

NFL · Player Props

Josh Allen

QB · Buffalo Bills

TD Passes

Buffalo Bills vs New York Giants · Week 6, 2023

Updated Oct 16, 2023 12:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Josh Allen TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-165/+130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +155 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The leading projections forecast the Buffalo Bills as the 2nd-most pass-heavy team in football (adjusted for context) right now with a 68.3% pass rate.
In racking up a massive 36.4 pass attempts per game this year, Josh Allen slots in among the top quarterbacks in the NFL (76th percentile) in this regard.
The Buffalo Bills O-line ranks as the 3rd-best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.
Josh Allen's 73.7% Adjusted Completion% this season indicates a a remarkable gain in his throwing precision over last season's 64.2% mark.
Josh Allen has been one of the leading TD throwers in the league this year, averaging a terrific 2.20 per game while grading out in the 97th percentile.

Favors Under

This week's line indicates an extreme running game script for the Bills, who are a massive favorite by 15.5 points.
The projections expect the Bills to run the 7th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.9 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.
Opposing quarterbacks teams have been afraid to rely on the passing game too much against the New York Giants, averaging the 5th-fewest attempts in football (a mere 29.6 per game) this year.

More Josh Allen Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow