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Josh Allen

Josh Allen TD Passes
Player Prop Week 20

Buffalo Bills vs Kansas City Chiefs

Josh Allen TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-130/+100).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 131.7 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics.

When it comes to pass-blocking (and the positive impact it has on all pass game statistics), the O-line of the Buffalo Bills ranks as the 10th-best in the NFL this year.

Josh Allen's throwing accuracy has been refined this season, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 64.2% to 67.4%.

Josh Allen has been among the leading touchdown throwers in the league this year, averaging a stellar 1.78 per game while checking in at the 89th percentile.

The Kansas City Chiefs safeties profile as the 2nd-worst unit in football this year in covering receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Buffalo Bills as the least pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 54.8% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

Our trusted projections expect the Buffalo Bills to be the 6th-least pass-oriented team in football near the goal line (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 54.0% red zone pass rate.

The predictive model expects Josh Allen to throw 34.2 passes in this week's game, on balance: the fewest among all QBs.

Opposing offenses teams have been hesitant to pass too much against the Kansas City Chiefs, averaging the fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 28.7 per game) this year.

This year, the stout Chiefs defense has surrendered a puny 68.7% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 10th-best rate in football.

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