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Josh Allen

Josh Allen TD Passes
Player Prop Week 19

Buffalo Bills vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Josh Allen TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +103 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

As it relates to pass-blocking (and the positive effect it has on all passing game stats), the O-line of the Bills profiles as the 7th-best in football this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 10-point advantage, the Bills are a huge favorite in this game, implying much more of a reliance on rushing than their standard approach.

The leading projections forecast the Bills as the 2nd-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 52.5% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

The leading projections forecast the Bills to run the fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.8 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The predictive model expects Josh Allen to attempt 30.9 passes in this week's game, on balance: the fewest among all QBs.

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