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Josh Allen

Josh Allen TD Passes
Player Prop Week 15

Buffalo Bills vs Dallas Cowboys

Josh Allen TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-132/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +115 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the present time, the 2nd-most pass-heavy team in football (67.0% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Buffalo Bills.

The projections expect this game to have the 3rd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 132.3 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.

The model projects Josh Allen to throw 37.3 passes in this week's contest, on balance: the 5th-most out of all QBs.

In regards to pass protection (and the positive impact it has on all passing offense statistics), the O-line of the Buffalo Bills grades out as the 8th-best in the league this year.

Josh Allen's throwing accuracy has gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 64.2% to 68.5%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing offenses have averaged 31.2 pass attempts per game against the Cowboys defense this year: 3rd-fewest in football.

This year, the stout Dallas Cowboys defense has yielded a paltry 64.0% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 3rd-best rate in football.

As it relates to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Dallas's group of LBs has been fantastic this year, projecting as the 3rd-best in the league.

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