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Josh Allen

Josh Allen Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 21

Kansas City Chiefs vs Buffalo Bills

Josh Allen Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 51.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 47.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 51.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is predicted by the predictive model to see only 132.5 total plays run: the lowest number among all games this week.

Accounting for 22.1% of his offense's rushing play calls this year (89th percentile when it comes to QBs), Josh Allen's mobility marks him as a dangerous weapon with his legs.

With an exceptional tally of 33.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (88th percentile), Josh Allen rates as one of the leading rushing QBs in the NFL this year.

Josh Allen has been one of the best QBs in football at grinding out extra ground yardage, averaging an outstanding 2.13 yards-after-contact this year while grading out in the 76th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The smallest volume of plays in football have been called by the Buffalo Bills this year (just 55.4 per game on average).

Still weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being forecasted in this game) usually prompt better passing effectiveness, higher TD potential, higher air volume, and lower run volume.

The leading projections forecast Josh Allen to accumulate 7.7 rush attempts in this week's contest, on balance: the 2nd-fewest among all quarterbacks.

This year, the feeble Chiefs run defense has been torched for a massive 4.23 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to opposing offenses: the 21st-highest rate in football.

When it comes to the safeties' role in run defense, Kansas City's safety corps has been exceptional this year, profiling as the 5th-best in the NFL.

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