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Josh Allen

Josh Allen Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 20

Buffalo Bills vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Josh Allen Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 50.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 45.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 50.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Josh Allen has averaged 6.0 carries per game this year, one of the largest rates in the league when it comes to QBs (90th percentile).
  • Josh Allen isn't afraid to run the ball himself, making up 22.0% of his offense's carries this year, ranking him in the 89th percentile among QBs.
  • With an outstanding total of 34.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (88th percentile), Josh Allen stands among the best running QBs in the league this year.
  • With an excellent record of 2.18 yards-after-contact (76th percentile), Josh Allen has been as one of the top rushing quarterbacks in the NFL this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Bills to run on 42.3% of their chances: the lowest clip among all teams this week.
  • The model projects the Bills to call the fewest total plays among all teams this week with 62.9 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • The Buffalo Bills have called the fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a measly 55.5 plays per game.
  • This year, the fierce Ravens run defense has given up a feeble 77.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing offenses: the fewest in the league.
  • The Ravens defensive tackles profile as the best DT corps in the league this year with their run defense.

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