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Josh Allen

Josh Allen Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 19

Buffalo Bills vs Denver Broncos

Josh Allen Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 47.5 (-123/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 36.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 47.5 @ -123.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

An extreme running game script is implied by the Bills being a big 7.5-point favorite this week.

The leading projections forecast the Bills to be the 3rd-most run-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 46.1% run rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The projections expect this game to have the smallest number of plays run among all games this week at 132.4 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

In racking up a monstrous 5.9 rush attempts per game this year, Josh Allen rates among the top quarterbacks in football (90th percentile) when it comes to ground game utilization.

Accounting for 22.0% of his offense's rushing play calls this year (89th percentile among QBs), Josh Allen's mobility marks him as a dangerous weapon in Buffalo's rushing attack.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The lowest number of plays in football have been called by the Buffalo Bills this year (only 54.9 per game on average).

This year, the shaky Broncos run defense has been gouged for a staggering 3.95 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to the opposition's running game: the 23rd-largest rate in the league.

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