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Josh Allen

Josh Allen Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Buffalo Bills vs New York Giants

 
 
 
Josh Allen Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 28.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week's line indicates an extreme running game script for the Bills, who are a massive favorite by 15.5 points.
  • The leading projections forecast Josh Allen to notch 6.6 rush attempts in this week's game, on average: the 4th-most out of all quarterbacks.
  • The projections expect Josh Allen to be much more involved in his offense's running game in this week's game (25.0% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (17.3% in games he has played).
  • With an outstanding rate of 6.8 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) (90th percentile), Josh Allen rates as one of the best running quarterbacks in the NFL this year.
  • Opposing teams have rushed for the most adjusted yards in the NFL (160 per game) against the New York Giants defense this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At the moment, the least run-oriented offense in the league (31.6% context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Bills.
  • The projections expect the Bills to run the 7th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.9 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • The Buffalo offensive line grades out as the 10th-worst in the league last year in run support.
  • Josh Allen's 24.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year represents a a noteworthy drop-off in his rushing talent over last year's 48.0 mark.
  • The New York defensive tackles project as the best DT corps in the league this year when it comes to stopping the run.

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