Josh Allen Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Josh Allen

NFL · Player Props

Josh Allen

QB · Buffalo Bills

Rushing Yards

Buffalo Bills vs New York Giants · Week 6, 2023

Updated Oct 16, 2023 3:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Josh Allen Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 28.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This week's line indicates an extreme running game script for the Bills, who are a massive favorite by 15.5 points.
The leading projections forecast Josh Allen to notch 6.6 rush attempts in this week's game, on average: the 4th-most out of all quarterbacks.
The projections expect Josh Allen to be much more involved in his offense's running game in this week's game (25.0% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (17.3% in games he has played).
With an outstanding rate of 6.8 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) (90th percentile), Josh Allen rates as one of the best running quarterbacks in the NFL this year.
Opposing teams have rushed for the most adjusted yards in the NFL (160 per game) against the New York Giants defense this year.

Favors Under

At the moment, the least run-oriented offense in the league (31.6% context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Bills.
The projections expect the Bills to run the 7th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.9 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.
The Buffalo offensive line grades out as the 10th-worst in the league last year in run support.
Josh Allen's 24.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year represents a a noteworthy drop-off in his rushing talent over last year's 48.0 mark.
The New York defensive tackles project as the best DT corps in the league this year when it comes to stopping the run.

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