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Josh Allen

Josh Allen Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 20

Buffalo Bills vs Kansas City Chiefs

Josh Allen Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 43.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 42.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 43.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 131.7 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics.

The model projects Josh Allen to garner 9.7 rush attempts in this week's contest, on average: the 2nd-most among all quarterbacks.

While Josh Allen has received 23.1% of his team's carries in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be a much bigger part of Buffalo's ground game in this game at 32.5%.

The Kansas City Chiefs safeties rank as the 25th-worst safety corps in the NFL this year in regard to run defense.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Right now, the 9th-least run-centric offense in football (36.8% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Buffalo Bills.

In regards to run support (and the ramifications it has on all ground game stats), the offensive line of the Buffalo Bills ranks as the 6th-worst in football last year.

Josh Allen's 34.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this season reflects an impressive drop-off in his running talent over last season's 48.0 rate.

Josh Allen's running effectiveness has diminished this season, compiling just 5.62 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to a 7.24 mark last season.

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