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Josh Allen

Josh Allen Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Buffalo Bills vs Las Vegas Raiders

 
 
 
Josh Allen Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 38.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 34.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 38.5 @ +105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Bills are a massive 7.5-point favorite this week, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects Josh Allen to accrue 7.5 rush attempts in this week's game, on average: the 5th-most of all QBs.
  • Josh Allen isn't afraid to call his own number, accounting for 27.3% of his team's carries this year, putting him in the 90th percentile among QBs.
  • Josh Allen has grinded out 48.0 rushing yards per game since the start of last season, one of the biggest marks in football among QBs (92nd percentile).
  • Josh Allen's running efficiency (7.24 yards per carry) has been some of the best in football since the start of last season (91st percentile among quarterbacks).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Buffalo Bills as the 2nd-least run-centric offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 30.8% run rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 124.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Buffalo Bills have called the 7th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a mere 55.2 plays per game.
  • The Buffalo Bills offensive line profiles as the 10th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season at blocking for the run game.

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