Josh Allen Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Josh Allen

NFL · Player Props

Josh Allen

QB · Buffalo Bills

Rushing Yards

Buffalo Bills vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 2, 2023

Updated Sep 17, 2023 5:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Josh Allen Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 38.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 34.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 38.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Bills are a massive 7.5-point favorite this week, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects Josh Allen to accrue 7.5 rush attempts in this week's game, on average: the 5th-most of all QBs.
Josh Allen isn't afraid to call his own number, accounting for 27.3% of his team's carries this year, putting him in the 90th percentile among QBs.
Josh Allen has grinded out 48.0 rushing yards per game since the start of last season, one of the biggest marks in football among QBs (92nd percentile).
Josh Allen's running efficiency (7.24 yards per carry) has been some of the best in football since the start of last season (91st percentile among quarterbacks).

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Buffalo Bills as the 2nd-least run-centric offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 30.8% run rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 124.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Buffalo Bills have called the 7th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a mere 55.2 plays per game.
The Buffalo Bills offensive line profiles as the 10th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season at blocking for the run game.

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