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Josh Allen

Josh Allen Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Buffalo Bills vs New England Patriots

Josh Allen Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

An extreme rushing game script is indicated by the Bills being an enormous 14.5-point favorite in this game.

The projections expect the Bills to be the 6th-most run-oriented team among all teams this week with a 48.9% run rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

In this game, Josh Allen is forecasted by the projections to notch the 4th-most rush attempts among all quarterbacks with 6.6.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects this game to have the 11th-slowest pace out of all the games this week, averaging 26.62 seconds per play accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Josh Allen has been a much smaller part of his team's running game this season (20.6% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (27.2%).

The Buffalo Bills O-line ranks as the 9th-worst in football last year at blocking for the run game.

Josh Allen has run for quite a few less adjusted yards per game (28.0) this year than he did last year (48.0).

Josh Allen's rushing efficiency has diminished this season, averaging a measly 5.45 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to a 7.24 figure last season.

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