Our trusted projections expect the Buffalo Bills to be the 5th-least run-centric team among all teams this week with a 38.8% run rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.To the extent of a defense's effect on pace, at 28.97 seconds per play, the model projects the Bills as the slowest in the league (adjusted for context) right now.Josh Allen has been a less important option in his offense's ground game this year (20.4% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (27.2%).The Bills O-line grades out as the 10th-worst in the league last year at opening holes for runners.Josh Allen's 28.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year illustrates a meaningful diminishment in his running talent over last year's 48.0 mark.
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