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Josh Allen
NFL · Player Props
Josh Allen
QB · Buffalo Bills
Rushing Yards
Buffalo Bills vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 20, 2022 Updated Jan 22, 2023 8:06 PM UTC
NFL Props Josh Allen Rushing Yards

Josh Allen Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 50.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 44.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 50.5 @ -130.

Favors Over
  • The Bills are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects Josh Allen to notch 7.4 carries in this contest, on average: the 2nd-most of all quarterbacks.
  • THE BLITZ projects Josh Allen to be a much bigger part of his team's run game this week (30.0% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (16.7% in games he has played).
  • Josh Allen has rushed for a lot more yards per game (49.0) this year than he did last year (40.0).
  • Josh Allen's rushing efficiency (7.27 yards per carry) has been some of the best in the NFL this year (91st percentile among QBs).
Favors Under
  • The Buffalo Bills will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Ken Dorsey, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 2.3% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
  • THE BLITZ projects the Buffalo Bills to be the least run-heavy offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 30.0% run rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Bills to run the least plays on offense on the slate this week with 65.1 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Buffalo Bills have called the least plays in football this year, totaling just 54.8 plays per game.
  • The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
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