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Josh Allen
NFL · Player Props
Josh Allen
QB · Buffalo Bills
Rushing Yards
Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins · Week 19, 2022 Updated Jan 19, 2023 4:28 PM UTC
NFL Props Josh Allen Rushing Yards

Josh Allen Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 53.5 (+109/-142).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 53.5 @ -116 before it was bet down to 53.5 @ -142.

Favors Over
  • The Bills are a big 13.5-point favorite this week, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-least plays run on the slate this week at 128.4 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Josh Allen to total 7.6 rush attempts in this week's game, on average: the most of all quarterbacks.
  • THE BLITZ projects Josh Allen to be a more important option in his offense's rushing attack this week (29.2% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (16.7% in games he has played).
  • Josh Allen has run for a lot more yards per game (49.0) this season than he did last season (40.0).
Favors Under
  • The Buffalo Bills will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Ken Dorsey, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 2.3% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
  • THE BLITZ projects the Buffalo Bills to be the least run-heavy team in football (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 30.0% run rate.
  • The Buffalo Bills have called the 4th-least plays in football this year, totaling a measly 54.8 plays per game.
  • The forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • The Buffalo Bills O-line grades out as the 6th-worst in the league this year at blocking for rushers.
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