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Josh Allen
NFL · Player Props
Josh Allen
QB · Buffalo Bills
Rushing Yards
Chicago Bears vs Buffalo Bills · Week 16, 2022 Updated Dec 24, 2022 9:01 PM UTC
NFL Props Josh Allen Rushing Yards

Josh Allen Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 49.5 (-150/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 49.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 49.5 @ -150.

Favors Over
  • The Bills are a heavy 8.5-point favorite in this game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
  • The weather forecast calls for 23-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
  • THE BLITZ projects Josh Allen to accumulate 8.8 carries in this week's game, on average: the 3rd-most of all quarterbacks.
  • THE BLITZ projects Josh Allen to be a more integral piece of his team's rushing attack this week (33.1% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (16.9% in games he has played).
  • Josh Allen has run for significantly more yards per game (51.0) this year than he did last year (40.0).
Favors Under
  • The Buffalo Bills boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Ken Dorsey, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 3.0% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
  • THE BLITZ projects the Buffalo Bills as the least run-centric offense in the league (in a neutral context) right now with a 29.3% run rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Bills to call the 3rd-least total plays on the slate this week with 61.4 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Buffalo Bills offensive line ranks as the 6th-worst in football this year at run-game blocking.
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