Josh Allen Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 11

My Account Log Out

reorder

Josh Allen

NFL · Player Props

Josh Allen

QB · Buffalo Bills

Rushing Yards

Buffalo Bills vs Cleveland Browns · Week 11, 2022

Updated Nov 20, 2022 9:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Josh Allen Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 43.5 (-108/-123).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 43.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 43.5 @ -123.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Bills are a 6.5-point favorite this week, likely creating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Buffalo Bills offense as the 10th-fastest paced team in football (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 27.46 seconds per snap.
THE BLITZ projects Josh Allen to notch 7.1 carries in this week's contest, on average: the 5th-most of all QBs.
THE BLITZ projects Josh Allen to be a more integral piece of his team's run game this week (31.8% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (18.1% in games he has played).
Josh Allen has run for substantially more yards per game (54.0) this year than he did last year (40.0).

Favors Under

The Buffalo Bills boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Ken Dorsey, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 3.8% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
THE BLITZ projects the Buffalo Bills to be the 4th-least run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 34.4% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
The Buffalo Bills O-line profiles as the 8th-worst in the NFL this year in run blocking.

More Josh Allen Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow