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Josh Allen
NFL · Player Props
Josh Allen
QB · Buffalo Bills
Rushing TD
Buffalo Bills vs Green Bay Packers · Week 8, 2022 Updated Oct 31, 2022 12:16 AM UTC
NFL Props Josh Allen Rushing TD

Josh Allen Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+156/-221).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +169 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +156.

Favors Over
  • The Bills are a huge 10.5-point favorite this week, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
  • Josh Allen has run for 0.33 TDs per game on the ground this year (on average), one of the highest marks in the NFL among quarterbacks (92nd percentile).
  • Opposing offenses have run for the 10th-most touchdowns in the league (1.00 per game) against the Green Bay Packers defense this year.
  • The Green Bay Packers linebackers rank as the 7th-worst LB corps in football this year when it comes to run defense.
  • The Buffalo Bills have faced a stacked the box on just 13.2% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-least in the NFL. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
Favors Under
  • THE BLITZ projects the Buffalo Bills to be the least run-heavy offense in the league near the goal line (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 35.9% red zone run rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 5th-least plays run on the slate this week at 127.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Josh Allen to be much less involved in his team's rushing attack near the end zone this week (44.5% projected Red Zone Carry Share) than he has been this year (62.5% in games he has played).
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