Josh Allen Rushing TD - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Josh Allen

NFL · Player Props

Josh Allen

QB · Buffalo Bills

Rushing TD

Buffalo Bills vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 10, 2022

Updated Nov 13, 2022 9:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Josh Allen Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+193/-285).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -219 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -285.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Bills are a heavy 7-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-most plays run among all games this week at 135.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Buffalo Bills have faced a stacked the box on just 13.2% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-least in the league. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Buffalo Bills as the 5th-least run-oriented offense in the NFL near the end zone (in a neutral context) right now with a 38.7% red zone run rate.
The Minnesota Vikings defensive tackles rank as the best unit in football this year in regard to defending the run.

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