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Josh Allen

Josh Allen Rushing TD
Player Prop Week 1

Los Angeles Rams vs Buffalo Bills

Josh Allen Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+153/-213).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +165 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +153.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run on the slate this week at 128.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Buffalo Bills have called the 3rd-most plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a monstrous 65.8 plays per game.

Josh Allen isn't afraid to run the ball near the end zone, accounting for 24.4% of his [OFFENSE_TEAMS]'s red zone rush attempts since the start of last season (90th percentile among quarterbacks).

Josh Allen has rushed for 0.26 touchdowns per game on the ground since the start of last season (on average), one of the biggest marks in the league among QBs (94th percentile).

Opposing teams have rushed for the 8th-most touchdowns in the league (1.06 per game) versus the Los Angeles Rams defense since the start of last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Buffalo Bills as the 3rd-least run-heavy team in the NFL near the end zone (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 37.5% red zone run rate.

The Los Angeles Rams defensive ends project as the best collection of DEs in the league since the start of last season when it comes to run defense.

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