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Josh Allen

Josh Allen Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 19

Buffalo Bills vs Denver Broncos

Josh Allen Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 235.5 (-140/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 226.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 235.5 @ -140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect this game to have the smallest number of plays run among all games this week at 132.4 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Broncos defense has been something of pass funnel this year, allowing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the NFL (36.6 per game) this year.

The Buffalo Bills offensive line profiles as the 7th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a strong influence on all passing game stats across the board.

With an exceptional 7.85 adjusted yards-per-target (82nd percentile) this year, Josh Allen stands among the best per-play quarterbacks in football.

Opposing teams have thrown for the 4th-most adjusted yards in the NFL (239.0 per game) vs. the Broncos defense this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

An extreme running game script is implied by the Bills being a big 7.5-point favorite this week.

Our trusted projections expect the Buffalo Bills to be the 3rd-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 53.9% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The lowest number of plays in football have been called by the Buffalo Bills this year (only 54.9 per game on average).

This year, the stout Denver Broncos defense has surrendered the 7th-least yards-after-the-catch in football to the opposing side: a meager 4.8 YAC.

As it relates to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Denver's collection of safeties has been fantastic this year, projecting as the 2nd-best in the league.

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