Josh Allen Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Josh Allen

NFL · Player Props

Josh Allen

QB · Buffalo Bills

Passing Yards

Buffalo Bills vs New York Giants · Week 6, 2023

Updated Oct 15, 2023 11:26 PM UTC

Analysis

Josh Allen Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 264.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The leading projections forecast the Buffalo Bills as the 2nd-most pass-heavy team in football (adjusted for context) right now with a 68.3% pass rate.
In racking up a massive 36.4 pass attempts per game this year, Josh Allen slots in among the top quarterbacks in the NFL (76th percentile) in this regard.
The Buffalo Bills O-line ranks as the 3rd-best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.
Josh Allen has been among the top passers in football this year, averaging a stellar 284.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 95th percentile.
Josh Allen's 73.7% Adjusted Completion% this season indicates a a remarkable gain in his throwing precision over last season's 64.2% mark.

Favors Under

This week's line indicates an extreme running game script for the Bills, who are a massive favorite by 15.5 points.
The projections expect the Bills to run the 7th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.9 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.
Opposing quarterbacks teams have been afraid to rely on the passing game too much against the New York Giants, averaging the 5th-fewest attempts in football (a mere 29.6 per game) this year.

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