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Josh Allen

Josh Allen Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Washington Commanders vs Buffalo Bills

Josh Allen Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 253.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 262.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 253.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Buffalo Bills to be the 8th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 60.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Josh Allen has attempted 37.3 passes per game since the start of last season, grading out in the 78th percentile among quarterbacks.

Josh Allen has been among the best quarterbacks in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 272.0 yards per game while ranking in the 86th percentile.

Josh Allen's passing precision has been refined this season, with his Completion% jumping from 64.2% to 77.2%.

Josh Allen has been among the most effective quarterbacks in the league this year, averaging an impressive 7.21 yards-per-target while grading out in the 78th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Bills are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-least plays run among all games this week at 123.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Buffalo Bills have called the 10th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a lowly 55.8 plays per game.

Opposing teams have averaged 29.7 pass attempts per game vs. the Washington Commanders defense since the start of last season: 3rd-least in the league.

The Buffalo Bills O-line grades out as the 9th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all passing offense stats across the board.

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