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Josh Allen

Josh Allen Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 20

Buffalo Bills vs Kansas City Chiefs

Josh Allen Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 228.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 233.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 228.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 131.7 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics.

When it comes to pass-blocking (and the positive impact it has on all pass game statistics), the O-line of the Buffalo Bills ranks as the 10th-best in the NFL this year.

With a fantastic rate of 258.0 adjusted passing yards per game (82nd percentile), Josh Allen stands as one of the top QBs in the league this year.

Josh Allen's throwing accuracy has been refined this season, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 64.2% to 67.4%.

With a remarkable 7.63 adjusted yards-per-target (81st percentile) this year, Josh Allen has been among the most efficient quarterbacks in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Buffalo Bills as the least pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 54.8% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The predictive model expects Josh Allen to throw 34.2 passes in this week's game, on balance: the fewest among all QBs.

Opposing offenses teams have been hesitant to pass too much against the Kansas City Chiefs, averaging the fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 28.7 per game) this year.

Opposing quarterbacks have thrown for the 3rd-fewest yards in the NFL (just 178.0 adjusted yards per game) against the Kansas City Chiefs defense this year.

This year, the strong Chiefs defense has allowed the 3rd-least adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing offenses: a feeble 6.9 yards.

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