Josh Allen Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Josh Allen

NFL · Player Props

Josh Allen

QB · Buffalo Bills

Passing Yards

Buffalo Bills vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 17, 2023 9:16 PM UTC

Analysis

Josh Allen Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 260.5 (-125/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

At the present time, the 2nd-most pass-heavy team in football (67.0% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Buffalo Bills.
The projections expect this game to have the 3rd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 132.3 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.
The model projects Josh Allen to throw 37.3 passes in this week's contest, on balance: the 5th-most out of all QBs.
In regards to pass protection (and the positive impact it has on all passing offense statistics), the O-line of the Buffalo Bills grades out as the 8th-best in the league this year.
With an outstanding tally of 279.0 adjusted passing yards per game (94th percentile), Josh Allen ranks as one of the top passers in football this year.

Favors Under

Opposing offenses have averaged 31.2 pass attempts per game against the Cowboys defense this year: 3rd-fewest in football.
Opposing QBs have passed for the 4th-fewest yards in football (just 201.0 adjusted yards per game) versus the Dallas Cowboys defense this year.
This year, the stout Dallas Cowboys defense has yielded a paltry 64.0% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 3rd-best rate in football.
As it relates to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Dallas's group of LBs has been fantastic this year, projecting as the 3rd-best in the league.

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