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Josh Allen

Josh Allen Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 1

New York Jets vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Josh Allen Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 249.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 246.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 249.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • Josh Allen has been among the best passers in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 271.0 yards per game while grading out in the 89th percentile.
  • Josh Allen has been among the most efficient passers in football since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 7.66 yards-per-target while checking in at the 87th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Buffalo Bills as the 6th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 62.4% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Bills to call the least offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.1 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Buffalo Bills have run the least plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 54.8 plays per game.
  • THE BLITZ projects Josh Allen to attempt 37.3 passes in this week's game, on average: the 7th-most of all QBs.
  • The Buffalo Bills offensive line ranks as the 4th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a negative impact on all pass attack stats across the board.

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