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Josh Allen

Josh Allen Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 9

New York Jets vs Buffalo Bills

Josh Allen Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 279.5 (-125/-105).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Buffalo Bills will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Ken Dorsey, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 4.0% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).

THE BLITZ projects the Buffalo Bills to be the most pass-oriented offense in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 71.7% pass rate.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run out of all the games this week at 131.8 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects Josh Allen to attempt 39.0 passes in this contest, on average: the 5th-most of all quarterbacks.

Josh Allen has thrown for substantially more yards per game (309.0) this year than he did last year (249.0).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Bills are a huge 10.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.

Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 7th-lowest level in the league against the New York Jets defense this year (66.7%).

The New York Jets pass defense has displayed good efficiency this year, giving up 6.72 yards-per-target: the 5th-least in the league.

The New York Jets cornerbacks project as the best collection of CBs in football this year in pass coverage.

The Buffalo Bills have been faced with a stacked the box on a mere 13.2% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-least in the league. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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