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Josh Allen

Josh Allen Pass Attempts
Player Prop Week 9

New York Jets vs Buffalo Bills

Josh Allen Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 35.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 35.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 35.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Buffalo Bills will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Ken Dorsey, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 4.0% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).

THE BLITZ projects the Buffalo Bills to be the most pass-oriented offense in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 71.7% pass rate.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run out of all the games this week at 131.8 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects Josh Allen to attempt 39.0 passes in this contest, on average: the 5th-most of all quarterbacks.

The New York Jets have stacked the box vs. opponents on 22.0% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-most in football. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Bills are a huge 10.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.

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