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Josh Allen

Josh Allen Pass Attempts
Player Prop Week 17

Cincinnati Bengals vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Josh Allen Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 35.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 34.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 35.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Buffalo Bills will have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Ken Dorsey, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 2.7% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
  • The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 37.3 pass attempts per game against the Cincinnati Bengals defense this year: 8th-most in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Buffalo Bills to be the least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 64.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Bills to run the least plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.8 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Josh Allen to attempt 38.9 passes this week, on average: the least of all QBs.

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