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Josh Allen

Josh Allen Pass Attempts
Player Prop Week 13

New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills

Josh Allen Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (-119/-109).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 36.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 34.5 @ -109.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Buffalo Bills will have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Ken Dorsey, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 3.3% more towards passing than it did last year (adjusted for context).

THE BLITZ projects the Buffalo Bills as the 2nd-most pass-centric team in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 71.0% pass rate.

THE BLITZ projects the Buffalo Bills offense to be the 7th-quickest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 27.35 seconds per snap.

THE BLITZ projects Josh Allen to attempt 38.0 passes in this week's game, on average: the 7th-most of all QBs.

Opposing QBs have averaged 37.0 pass attempts per game versus the New England Patriots defense this year: 7th-most in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Bills are a big 9.5-point favorite this week, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.

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