Josh Allen Interceptions - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Josh Allen

NFL · Player Props

Josh Allen

QB · Buffalo Bills

Interceptions

New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills · Week 7, 2023

Updated Oct 23, 2023 1:56 AM UTC

Analysis

Josh Allen Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-139/+102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +108 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The leading projections forecast the Bills to be the 3rd-most pass-heavy offense in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 67.6% pass rate.
In this game, Josh Allen is expected by the projections to wind up with the 8th-most pass attempts among all QBs with 36.5.
The Buffalo O-line profiles as the 5th-best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong effect on all passing attack metrics across the board.
Josh Allen has registered 1.04 interceptions per game this year, checking in at the 18th percentile when it comes to QBs.
New England's defense ranks as the 3rd-worst in football this year when it comes to producing interceptions, accumulating a lowly 0.35 per game.

Favors Under

With a 7.5-point advantage, the Bills are a massive favorite in this game, indicating much more of a focus on rushing than their standard approach.
Right now, the 3rd-most sluggish paced team in the league (context-neutralized) according to the model is the Buffalo Bills.

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